Reliably Republican Oklahoma is getting even redder.
Registered Republicans made up 53.4% of voters statewide on July 31, according to the Oklahoma State Election Board’s most recent month-end voter registration report. That’s a 1.1% uptick since the 2024 presidential election and 2.2% increase since the November 2022 gubernatorial election.
Meanwhile, the Democratic Party has lost nearly 50,000 voters since November. Democrats make up 25.6% of voters statewide, down from 30% in 2022. Independent voter registration has steadily increased to just under 20%.
A similar trend is playing out nationwide. Last week, the New York Times reported that Democratic voter registration is down in all 30 states that track voter registration by political party. Declines were the steepest among men and younger voters, according to the Times’ analysis.
Ask around and you’ll hear various explanations for the red wave. Republicans might tell you it’s because voters like Republican policies and are satisfied with how the governor and supermajority Legislature are governing. Others will argue it’s because more voters want to have a say in closed Republican primaries, where many races are decided before a general election.
Oklahoma Watch reported on the party-switching phenomena in January 2022, when it appeared possible the state superintendent race could be decided in the Republican primary. Groups like the Oklahoma Rural Schools Coalition pushed its members to register as Republicans so they could vote in the race. Democrat Jena Nelson announced her candidacy a few months after that story ran, ultimately losing to Ryan Walters.
Backers of State Question 836, a top-two primary reform ballot initiative effort that’s facing legal challenges, hope voters will approve their question and party affiliation won’t matter as much in future election cycles. You can read more background on the initiative petition here.
Thoughts, questions or story ideas? Let me know at Kross@Oklahomawatch.org.
— Keaton Ross
Recommended Reading
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- Citing 1898 Curtis Act for jurisdiction over tribal citizens, Henryetta calls 2020 McGirt ruling ‘old’ news: City officials have invoked the 1898 Curtis Act to assert jurisdiction over tribal citizens, downplaying the significance of the McGirt decision and emphasizing outdated legal frameworks. This move continues a broader pattern of local resistance to applying tribal sovereignty in municipal legal matters. [NonDoc]
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